- Convert the `example PDFs` with the old `pdf-to-markdown` and write them to text files - Compare the text files with the conversion of the current code - Next: - Improve the current code to match good conversions of the old code - Adapt the text files in case the current conversion is better than the old - Current tests are breaking
43 KiB
WhatShanlWeMam?
The Tragedy of the Commons
Thepopulationproblemhasnotechnicalsolution;
itrequiresafundamentalextensioninmorality.
GarrettHardin
Attheendofathoughtfularticleon
thefutureofnuclearwar,Wiesnerand
York(1)concludedthat:"Bothsidesin
thearmsraceare...confrontedbythe
dilemmaofsteadilyincreasingmilitary
powerandsteadilydecreasingnational
security. It is our considered profes-
sionaljudgmentthat thisdilemmahas
notechnicalsolution.Ifthegreatpow-
ers continue to look for solutions in
theareaofscienceandtechnologyonly,
theresultwillbetoworsenthesitua-
tion."
Iwouldliketofocusyourattention
noton the subjectofthe article (na-
tionalsecurityinanuclearworld)but
onthekindofconclusiontheyreached,
namelythatthereisnotechnicalsolu-
tion tothe problem. Animplicit and
almostuniversalassumption ofdiscus-
sions published in professional and
semipopular scientific journals is that
the problem under discussion has a
technicalsolution.Atechnicalsolution
maybedefinedasonethatrequiresa
changeonlyin.the techniques of the
natural sciences, demanding little or
nothinginthewayofchangeinhuman
valuesorideasofmorality.
In our day (though not in earlier
times) technical solutions are always
welcome. Becauseofpreviousfailures
inprophecy,ittakescourage toassert
thata desiredtechnicalsolutionisnot
possible. Wiesner and York exhibited
this courage; publishing in a science
journal, theyinsistedthatthesolution
totheproblemwasnottobefoundin
the natural sciences. They cautiously
qualified their statement with the
phrase, "It is our considered profes-
Theauthorisprofessorofbiology,University of California, Santa Barbara. This article is basedonapresidentialaddresspresentedbefore themeetingofthePacificDivisionoftheAmeri- canAssociationfortheAdvancementofScience atUtahStateUniversity,Logan, 25 June1968.
13 DECEMBER 1968
sional judgment.. .." Vhether they
wererightornotisnottheconcernof
thepresentarticle.Rather,theconcern
hereiswiththeimportantconceptofa
classofhumanproblemswhichcanbe
called"notechnicalsolutionproblems,"
and,morespecifically,withtheidentifi-
cationanddiscussionofone ofthese.
Itiseasytoshowthattheclassisnot
a null class.Recall thegameoftick-
tack-toe. Considertheproblem, "How
canIwin.the gameoftick-tack-toe?"
ItiswellknownthatIcannot,ifIas-
sume(inkeepingwiththeconventions
ofgametheory)thatmyopponentun-
derstandsthegame perfectly.Put an-
otherway,thereisno"technicalsolu-
tion" totheproblem. Icanwinonly
bygivingaradicalmeaningtotheword
"win."Icanhitmyopponentoverthe
head;orIcandrughim;orIcanfalsify
therecords.EverywayinwhichI"win"
involves, in somesense, an abandon-
mentofthegame,asweintuitivelyun-
derstand it. (I can also, of course,
openly abandon the game-refuse to
playit.Thisiswhatmostadultsdo.)
Theclassof"Notechnicalsolution
problems" hasmembers. Mythesis is
thatthe"populationproblem,"ascon-
ventionallyconceived,isamemberof
thisclass.Howitisconventionallycon-
ceivedneedssomecomment. Itisfair
tosay thatmost people who'anguish
overthepopulationproblemaretrying
tofindawaytoavoidtheevilsofover-
populationwithoutrelinquishinganyof
the privileges they now enjoy. They
thinkthatfarmingtheseasordevelop-
ingnewstrainsofwheatwillsolvethe
problem-technologically.Itrytoshow
herethatthesolutiontheyseekcannot
befound.Thepopulationproblemcan-
notbesolvedin atechnicalway, any
morethancantheproblemofwinning
thegameoftick-tack-toe.
Population,asMalthussaid,naturally
tendstogrow"geometrically,"or,aswe
would now say, exponentially. In a
finite world this means that the per
capitashareoftheworld'sgoodsmust
steadilydecrease.Isoursafiniteworld?
Afairdefensecanbeputforwardfor
theviewthatthe worldis infinite; or
thatwedonotknowthatitisnot.But,
intermsofthepracticalproblemsthat
wemustfaceinthenextfewgenera-
tionswiththeforeseeabletechnology,it
is clear thatwe will greatly increase
humanmiseryifwedonot,duringthe
immediatefuture,assumethattheworld
availabletotheterrestrialhumanpop-
ulationis finite. "Space" isno escape
(2).
A finite world can support only a
finite population;therefore, population
growthmusteventuallyequalzero.(The
case of perpetual wide fluctuations
aboveandbelowzeroisatrivialvariant
thatneednotbediscussed.)Whenthis
conditionismet,whatwillbethesitua-
tionofmankind?Specifically,canBen-
tham's goalof"thegreatestgoodfor
the greatestnumber"be realized?
No-fortworeasons,eachsufficient
byitself. Thefirstisatheoreticalone.
It is not mathematically possible to
maximizefortwo(ormore)variablesat
thesametime.Thiswasclearlystated
byvonNeumannandMorgenstern(3),
buttheprincipleisimplicitinthetheory
ofpartial differentialequations,dating
back at least to D'Alembert (1717-
1783).
The second reason springs directly
from biological facts. To live, any
organismmusthaveasourceofenergy
(for example, food). This energy is
utilized fortwopuposes: meremain-
tenance and work. For man, mainte-
nanceofliferequiresabout (^1600) kilo-
caloriesaday("maintenancecalories').
Anythingthathedoesoverandabove
merelystayingalivewill bedefinedas
work,andissupportedby"workcal-
ories"whichhetakesin.Workcalories
areusednotonlyforwhatwecallwork
incommon speech; they arealsore-
quiredforallformsofenjoyment,from
swimming and automobile racing to
playing music and writing poetry. If
ourgoalistomaximizepopulationitis
obvious what we must do: We must
maketheworkcaloriesperpersonap-
proachasclosetozeroaspossible.No
gourmetmeals,novacations,nosports,
nomusic,noliterature, noart.. .. I
thinkthateveryonewillgrant,without
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argument or proof, that maximizing
population does not max2imize goods.
Bentham'sgoalisimpossible.
In reaching this conclusion I have
madethe usualassumption that it is
the acquisition of energy that is the
problem. The appearance of atomic
energyhas led someto questionthis
assumption.However,givenaninfinite
source of energy, population growth
stillproducesaninescapable problem.
Theproblemofthe acquisitionofen-
ergyisreplacedbytheproblemofits
dissipation,asJ.H.Fremlinhassowit-
tilyshown(4).Thearithmeticsignsin
-t-heanalysis are,as itwere, reversed;
butBentham'sgoalisstillunobtainable.
Theoptimumpopulationis,then,less
than the maximum. The difficulty of
definingtheoptimum isenormous;so
far asI know, no one has seriously
tackledthisproblem. Reaching anac-
ceptableandstablesolutionwillsurely
require more than one generation of
hardanalyticalwork-and muchper-
suasion.
We want the maximum good per
person;butwhatisgood?Tooneper-
sonitiswilderness,toanotheritisski
lodgesforthousands.Tooneitisestu-
aries tonourish ducks forhunters to
shoot; to another it is factory land.
Comparingonegood withanother is,
we usually say, impossible because
goodsareincommensurable.Incommen-
surablescannotbecompared.
Theoreticallythismaybetrue;butin
reallifeincommensurablesarecommen-
surable. Onlyacriterion ofjudgment
andasystemofweightingareneeded.
Innaturethecriterionissurvival.Isit
betterforaspeciestobesmallandhide-
able, orlarge and powerful? Natural
selectioncommensuratestheincommen-
surables.Thecompromiseachievedde-
pends on a natural weighting of the
valuesofthevariables.
Manmustimitatethisprocess.There
isnodoubtthatinfacthealreadydoes,
butunconsciously.Itiswhenthehidden
decisions are made explicit that the
argumentsbegin. Theproblem forthe
yearsaheadistoworkoutanaccept-
able theory of weighting. Synergistic
effects,nonlinearvariation,anddifficul-
tiesindiscountingthefuturemakethe
intellectual problem difficult, but not
(inprinciple)insoluble.
Has any cultural group solved this
practical problem at thepresenttime,
evenonanintuitivelevel?Onesimple
factprovesthat nonehas: thereisno
prosperouspopulationintheworldto-
day that has, and has had for some
1244
time,-p -rateofzero.Anypeople
that has intuitively identified itsopti-
mum point will soon reach it, after
whichitsgrowthratebecomesandre-
mainszero.
Of course, a positive growth rate
mightbetakenasevidencethatapop-
ulationisbelowitsoptimum.However,
byany reasonablestandards,themost
rapidly growing populations on earth
todayare(ingeneral)themostmisera-
ble.Thisassociation(whichneednotbe
invariable)castsdoubtontheoptimistic
assumptionthatthepositivegrowthrate
ofapopulationisevidencethatithas
yettoreachitsoptimum.
Wecanmakelittleprogressinwork-
ingtowardoptimumpoulationsizeuntil
we explicitly exorcize the spirit of
Adam Smith inthe field ofpractical
demography.Ineconomic affairs, The
WealthofNations (1776) popularized
the "invisible hand,"the idea thatan
individual who "intendsonly hisown
gain,"is,asitwere,"ledbyaninvisible
handtopromote..,.thepublicinterest"
(5). Adam Smith did not assert that
this was invariablytrue, and perhaps
neitherdidanyofhisfollowers.Buthe
contributedtoadominanttendencyof
thoughtthat has eversinceinterfered
with positive action basedonrational
analysis, namely, the tendency to as-
sumethatdecisionsreachedindividually
will,infact,bethebestdecisionsforan
entire society. If this assumption is
correct it justifies the continuance of
our presentpolicy of laissez-faire in
reproduction.Ifitiscorrectwecanas-
sumethatmenwillcontroltheirindivid-
ualfecunditysoastoproducetheopti-
mumpopulation. If theassumption is
notcorrect,weneedtoreexamineour
individualfreedoms toseewhichones
aredefensible.
TragedyofFreedominaCommons
Therebuttaltotheinvisiblehandin
populationcontrolistobefoundina
scenariofirstsketchedinalittle-known
pamphlet(6)in 1833 byamathematical
amateurnamedWilliamForsterLloyd
(1794-1852).Wemaywellcallit"the
tragedy of the commons," using the
word "tragedy" as the philosopher
Whiteheadusedit(7):"Theessenceof
dramatictragedyisnotunhappiness.It
residesinthesolemnityoftheremorse-
lessworkingofthings."Hethen'goeson.
tosay, "Thisinevitableness ofdestiny
canonlybeillustratedintermsofhu-
manlifebyincidentswhichinfactin-
volve unhappiness.For it is onlyby
themthatthefutilityofescapecanbe
madeevidentinthedrama."
Thetragedyofthecommonsdevelops
inthisway. Pictureapastureopento
all.Itistobeexpectedthateachherds-
manwilltrytokeepasmanycattleas
possibleonthecommons.Suchanar-
rangementmayworkreasonablysatis-
factorily for centuries because tribal
wars, poaching, and disease keep the
numbers ofbothman andbeast well
belowthecarryingcapacityoftheland.
Finally, however, comes the day of
reckoning, that is, the day when the
long-desiredgoalofsocialstabilitybe-
comesareality. Atthispoint,thein-
herentlogicofthecommonsremorse-
lesslygeneratestragedy.
Asa rationalbeing,eachherdsman
seekstomaximizehis gain.Explicitly
orimplicitly,moreorlessconsciously,
heasks,"Whatistheutilitytomeof
addingonemoreanimaltomyherd?"
Thisutilityhas onenegative andone
positivecomponent.
1)Thepositivecomponentisafunc-
tionofthe increment ofone animal.
Since the herdsman receives all the
proceedsfromthesaleoftheadditional
animal,thepositiveutilityisnearly+1.
2) Thenegativecomponentisafunc-
tion of the additional overgrazing
created by one more animal. Since,
however,theeffectsofovergrazingare
sharedbyalltheherdsmen,thenegative
utility for any particular decision-
makingherdsmanisonlyafractionof
-1.
Addingtogetherthecomponentpar-
tial utilities, the rational herdsman
concludesthattheonlysensiblecourse
forhim topursue is to add another
animaltohis herd.And another;and
another....Butthisistheconclusion
reached by each and every rational
herdsmansharingacommons.Therein
isthetragedy.Eachmanislockedinto
asystemthatcompelshimtoincrease
hisherdwithoutlimit-inaworldthat
islimited. Ruin isthe destination to-
wardwhichallmenrush,eachpursuing
hisownbestinterest ina societythat
believes in the freedom of the com-
mons. Freedomina commons brings
ruintoall.
Somewouldsaythatthisisaplati-
tude.Wouldthatitwere!Inasense,it
waslearnedthousandsofyearsago,but
natural selectionfavors the forces of
psychologicaldenial(8).Theindividual
benefitsasanindividualfromhisability
todenythetrutheventhoughsocietyas
awhole,ofwhichheisapart,suffers.
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Education can counteract the natural
tendencytodothewrongthing,butthe
inexorable succession of generations
requiresthatthebasisforthisknowl-
edgebeconstantlyrefreshed.
Asimpleincidentthatoccurredafew
yearsagoinLeominster,Massachusetts,
showshowperishabletheknowledgeis.
Duringthe Christmasshoppingseason
the parking meters downtown were
coveredwithplasticbagsthatboretags
reading:"DonotopenuntilafterChrist-
mas. Free parking courtesy of the
mayorandcitycouncil."Inotherwords,
facingtheprospectofanincreasedde-
mandforalreadyscarcespace,thecity
fathers reinstituted the system of the
commons. (Cynically, we suspect that
theygainedmorevotesthan theylost
bythisretrogressiveact.)
Inanapproximateway,thelogicof
thecommonshasbeenunderstoodfor
a long time, perhaps since the dis-
coveryofagricultureorthe invention
ofprivateproperty inreal estate. But
itisunderstoodmostly onlyinspecial
caseswhicharenotsufficientlygeneral-
ized.Even atthislate date,cattlemen
leasing national land on the western
ranges demonstrate no morethan an
ambivalentunderstanding,inconstantly
pressuringfederalauthoritiestoincrease
theheadcounttothepointwhereover-
grazing produces erosion and weed-
dominance.Likewise,theoceansofthe
worldcontinuetosufferfromthe sur-
vivalofthephilosophyofthecommons.
Maritimenationsstillrespondautomat-
icallytotheshibbolethofthe"freedom
ofthe seas." Professing tobelieve in
the "inexhaustible resources of the
oceans,"theybringspeciesafterspecies
offishandwhalesclosertoextinction
(9).
TheNationalParkspresentanother
instance of the working out of the
tragedy ofthe commons.At present,
theyareopentoall,withoutlimit.The
parksthemselvesarelimitedinextent-
there is onlyone Yosemite Valley-
whereaspopulationseemstogrowwith-
outlimit.Thevaluesthatvisitors seek
intheparksaresteadilyeroded.Plainly,
wemustsoon ceasetotreattheparks
ascommonsortheywillbeofnovalue
toanyone.
Whatshallwedo?Wehaveseveral
options.Wemightsellthemoffaspri-
vateproperty.Wemightkeepthemas
public property,but allocate theright
toenterthem.Theallocationmightbe
onthebasisofwealth,bytheuseofan
auctionsystem.Itmightbeonthebasis
ofmerit, as defined by some agreed-
13 DECEMBER 1968
uponstandards.Itmightbebylottery.
Or itmight be on a first-come, first-
served basis, administered to long
queues. These, I think, are all the
reasonable possibilities. They are all
objectionable.Butwemustchoose-or
acquiesceinthedestructionofthecom-
monsthatwecallourNationalParks.
Pollution
In a reverse way, the tragedy of
thecommonsreappearsinproblemsof
pollution.Hereitisnotaquestion of
takingsomethingoutofthecommons,
but of putting something in-sewage,
or chemical, radioactive, and heat
wastesintowater;noxiousanddanger-
ousfumesintotheair;anddistracting
and unpleasant advertising signs into
the line of sight. Thecalculations of
utility are much the same as before.
Therationalmanfindsthathisshareof
thecostofthewasteshedischargesinto
the commons islessthan the costof
purifying his wastes before releasing
them.Sincethisistrueforeveryone,we
arelockedintoasystemof"foulingour
ownnest," solongaswebehaveonly
as independent, rational, free-enter-
prisers.
The tragedyof the commons as a
foodbasketisavertedbyprivateprop-
erty,orsomethingformallylikeit.But
theairandwaterssurroundinguscan-
notreadilybefenced,andsothetrag-
edyofthecommonsasacesspoolmust
bepreventedbydifferentmeans,byco-
ercivelawsortaxingdevicesthatmake
itcheaperforthepollutertotreat his
pollutantsthanto discharge themun-
treated.Wehavenotprogressedasfar
withthesolutionofthisproblemaswe
havewiththefirst.Indeed,ourparticu-
larconceptofprivateproperty,which
deters usfrom exhaustingthepositive
resourcesoftheearth,favorspollution.
Theownerofafactoryonthebankof
a stream-whose property extends to
the middle of the stream-often has
difficultyseeingwhyitisnothisnatural
righttomuddythewatersflowingpast
hisdoor.The law, alwaysbehindthe
times,requires elaborate stitchingand
fittingtoadaptittothisnewlyperceived
aspectofthecommons.
The pollution problem is a con-
sequenceofpopulation.Itdidnotmuch
matterhowalonelyAmericanfrontiers-
man disposed ofhis waste. "Flowing
waterpurifiesitselfevery 10 miles,"my
grandfatherusedtosay,andthemyth
wasnearenoughtothetruthwhenhe
wasaboy,fortherewerenottoomany
people.Butaspopulationbecamedenser,
thenaturalchemicalandbiologicalre-
cycling processes became overloaded,
calling for a redefinition of property
rights.
HowTo LegislateTemperance?
Analysisofthepollutionproblemas
a function of population density un-
coversanotgenerallyrecognizedprin-
cipleofmorality,namely: themorality
ofanactisafunctionofthestateof
thesystematthetimeitisperformed
(10).Usingthecommonsasacesspool
doesnotharmthegeneralpublicunder
frontierconditions,becausethereisno
public;thesamebehaviorinametropo-
lisisunbearable.A hundredandfifty
years ago a plainsman could kill an
Americanbison,cutoutonlythetongue
forhisdinner,anddiscardtherestof
theanimal.Hewasnotin anyimpor-
tantsensebeingwasteful.Today,with
only a few thousand bison left, we
wouldbeappalledatsuchbehavior.
Inpassing,itisworthnotingthatthe
moralityofanactcannotbedetermined
fromaphotograph.Onedoesnotknow
whether amankilling anelephant or
settingflretothegrasslandisharming
othersuntiloneknowsthetotalsystem
inwhichhisactappears."Onepicture
is worth a thousand words," said an
ancientChinese;butitmaytake10,
wordstovalidateit.Itisastemptingto
ecologistsasitistoreformersingeneral
totrytopersuadeothersbywayofthe
photographicshortcut.Butthe essense
of an argument cannot be photo-
graphed:itmustbepresentedrationally
-inwords.
That morality is system-sensitive
escapedtheattentionofmostcodifiers
of ethics in the past. "Thou shalt
not.. ." is the form of traditional
ethicaldirectiveswhichmakenoallow-
anceforparticularcircumstances. The
lawsofoursocietyfollowthepatternof
ancientethics,andthereforearepoorly
suitedtogoverningacomplex,crowded,
changeable world. Ourepicyclic solu-
tion istoaugment statutorylaw with
administrativelaw.Sinceitispractically
impossibletospelloutalltheconditions
underwhichitissafetoburntrashin
thebackyardortorunanautomobile
withoutsmog-control, bylawwe dele-
gatethe detailstobureaus.Theresult
isadministrative law, whichis rightly
feared for an ancient reason-Quis
custodiet ipsos custodes?-"Who shall
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watchthe watchersthemselves?" John
Adamssaidthatwemusthave"agov-
ernmentoflawsandnotmen."Bureau
administrators, trying to evaluate the
moralityofactsinthetotalsystem,are
singularlyliable tocorruption, produc-
ingagovernmentbymen,notlaws.
Prohibition is easy to legislate
(thoughnotnecessarilytoenforce);but
howdo welegislate temperance? Ex-
perience indicates that it can be ac-
complishedbestthrough themediation ofadministrative law. Welimit possi-
bilitiesunnecessarilyifwesupposethat
thesentimentof Quiscustodietdenies
us the useofadministrative law. We should rather retain the phrase as a perpetual reminder offearful dangers we cannotavoid. The great challenge
facingusnowistoinventthecorrective
feedbacksthatareneededtokeepcus-
todians honest.We mustfindways to
legitimatetheneededauthorityofboth
thecustodiansandthecorrectivefeed-
backs.
Freedom To Breed Is Intolerable
Thetragedyofthe commons isin-
volved in population problems inan-
otherway. Inaworldgovernedsolely
by theprincipleof"dog eatdog"-if
indeedthereeverwassuchaworld-
howmanychildrenafamilyhadwould
not be a matter of public concern.
Parentswhobredtooexuberantlywould
leavefewerdescendants,notmore,be-
cause they would be unable to care
adequately for their children. David
Lackandothershavefoundthatsucha
negative feedback demonstrably con-
trols the fecundity ofbirds (11). But
menarenotbirds,andhavenotacted
likethemformillenniums,atleast.
If eachhumanfamily weredepen-
dentonlyonitsownresources;ifthe
childrenofimprovidentparentsstarved
todeath;if,thus,overbreedingbrought
itsown"punishment"tothegermline-
thentherewouldbenopublic interest
incontrollingthebreedingoffamilies.
Butoursocietyisdeeplycommittedto
thewelfare state (12), and hence is
confrontedwithanotheraspectofthe
tragedyofthecommons.
Inawelfarestate,howshallwedeal
withthefamily,thereligion, therace,
ortheclass(orindeedanydistinguish-
able and cohesive group) that adopts
overbreeding asa policyto secureits
own aggrandizement (13)? To couple
the conceptoffreedomtobreedwith
the belief that everyone born has an
1246
equalrighttothecommonsistolock
theworldintoatragiccourseofaction.
Unfortunatelythisisjustthecourse
ofactionthatisbeingpursued bythe
UnitedNations.Inlate1967,some 30
nationsagreedtothefollowing(14):
The Universal Declaration of Human
Rightsdescribesthefamilyasthenatural
and fundamental unit ofsociety. Itfol-
lows that anychoice and decision with
regardtothesizeofthefamilymustirte-
vocably rest with the family itself, and
cannot bemadebyanyoneelse.
Itispainfultohavetodenycategor-
icallythevalidityofthisright;denying
it,onefeelsasuncomfortableasaresi-
dent of Salem, Massachusetts, who
deniedtherealityofwitchesinthe17th
century.Atthepresenttime,inliberal
quarters,somethinglikeatabooactsto
inhibitcriticismoftheUnitedNations.
There is a feeling that the United
Nations is "our last and best hope,"
thatweshouldn'tfindfaultwithit;we
shouldn't play into the hands of the
archconservatives. However,letusnot
forget what Robert Louis Stevenson
said: "Thetruththatissuppressedby
friends isthe readiest weapon ofthe
enemy."Ifwelovethetruthwemust
openlydenythevalidityoftheUniversal
Declaration of Human Rights, even
thoughit is promoted bythe United
Nations. We should also join with
Kingsley Davis (15) inattemptingto
getPlannedParenthood-WorldPopula-
tiontoseetheerrorofitswaysinem-
bracingthesametragicideal.
ConscienceIsSelf-Eliminating
Itisamistaketothinkthatwecan
controlthebreedingofmankindinthe
long run byan appealtoconscience.
CharlesGaltonDarwinmadethispoint
whenhespokeonthecentennialofthe
publication of his grandfather's great
book. The argumentisstraightforward
andDarwinian.
Peoplevary.Confrontedwithappeals
tolimitbreeding,somepeoplewillun-
doubtedly respond to the plea more
than others. Those who have more
childrenwillproduce alargerfraction
ofthenextgenerationthanthosewith
moresusceptibleconsciences. Thedif-
ferencewillbeaccentuated, generation
bygeneration.
InC. G. Darwin'swords: "It may
wellbethatitwouldtakehundredsof
generationsfortheprogenitive instinct
todevelopinthisway,butifitshould
do so, nature would have taken her
revenge,andthevarietyHomocontra-
cipiens would become extinct and
wouldbereplacedbythevarietyHomo
progenitivus" (16).
The argument assumes that con-
scienceor thedesire forchildren (no
matterwhich)ishereditary-butheredi-
tary only in the most general formal
sense. The result will be the same
whether the attitude is transmitted
throughgerm cells, orexosomatically,
touseA.J.Lotka'sterm.(Ifonedenies
the latter possibility as well as the
former,thenwhat'sthepointofeduca-
tion?) The argument has here been
statedinthecontextofthepopulation
problem,butitapplies equallywellto
any instance in whichsociety appeals
toanindividualexploitingacommons
to restrain himself for the general
good-bymeansofhisconscience.To
make such anappeal is to set up a
selectivesystemthatworkstowardthe
eliminationofconsciencefromtherace.
PathogenicEffectsofConscience
The long-term disadvantage of an
appealtoconscience shouldbeenough
tocondemn it; but hasserious short-
term disadvantagesaswell. Ifwe ask
amanwhoisexploitingacommonsto
desist "in the name of conscience,"
whatarewesayingtohim?Whatdoes
hehear?-notonlyatthemomentbut
also in the wee small hours of the
nightwhen, halfasleep,heremembers
notmerelythewordsweusedbutalso
the nonverbalcommunication cueswe
gave him unawares? Sooner or later,
consciouslyorsubconsciously,hesenses
thathehas received two communica-
tions,andthattheyarecontradictory:
(i) (intendedcommunication) "Ifyou
don'tdoasweask,wewillopenlycon-
demnyoufornotactinglikearespon-
sible citizen"; (ii) (the unintended
communication) "Ifyoudobehaveas
weask,wewillsecretlycondemr.you
for a simpleton who can be shamed
intostandingasidewhiletherestofus
exploitthecommons."
Everyman then is caught in what
Bateson has called a "double bind."
Batesonandhisco-workershavemade
aplausiblecaseforviewingthedouble
bindasanimportantcausativefactorin
the genesisofschizophrenia(17).The
double bind may not always be so
damaging,butitalwaysendangersthe
mentalhealthofanyonetowhomitis
applied. "A bad conscience," said
Nietzsche,"isakindofillness."
Toconjureupaconscienceinothers
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istempting toanyonewho wishes to
extend his control beyond the legal
limits. Leaders at the highest level
succumb to this temptation. Hasany
President during the past generation
failedtocallonlaborunionstomoder-
atevoluntarilytheirdemandsforhigher
wages,ortosteelcompaniestohonor
voluntary guidelines on prices?I can
recallnone.Therhetoricusedonsuch
occasionsis designedtoproducefeel-
ingsofguiltinnoncooperators.
Forcenturiesitwasassumedwithout
proofthatguiltwasavaluable,perhaps
evenanindispensable,ingredientofthe
civilizedlife.Now,inthispost-Freudian
world,wedoubtit.
Paul Goodman speaks from the
modern point ofview when he says:
"Nogood hasevercome fromfeeling
guilty, neither intelligence,policy, nor
compassion. The guilty do not pay
attentiontotheobjectbutonlytothem-
selves, and noteven totheirown in-
terests,whichmightmakesense,butto
theiranxieties" (18).
Onedoes nothavetobe a profes-
sional psychiatrist to see the conse-
quencesofanxiety.WeintheWestern
worldarejustemergingfromadreadful
two-centuries-long DarkAgesofEros
that was sustained partly by prohibi-
tionlaws,butperhapsmoreeffectively
by the anxiety-generating mechanisms
ofeducation.AlexComforthastoldthe
storywellinTheAnxietyMakers(19);
itisnotaprettyone.
Sinceproofisdifficult,wemayeven
concedethattheresultsofanxietymay
sometimes,fromcertainpointsofview,
be desirable. The larger question we
should askiswhether, asa matterof
policy, we should everencourage the
useofatechniquethetendency(ifnot
the intention) of whichispsycholog-
ically pathogenic. Wehearmuchtalk
these daysofresponsible parenthood;
the coupled words are incorporated
intothetitlesofsomeorganizationsde-
voted to birth control. Some people
have proposed massive propaganda
campaigns to instillresponsibility into
thenation's (ortheworld's) breeders.
Butwhat isthemeaning ofthe word
responsibilityinthis context?Isitnot
merelya synonym for theword con-
science? When we use the word re-
sponsibilityintheabsenceofsubstantial
sanctionsarewenottryingtobrowbeat
a freemaninacommonsintoacting
againsthisowninterest?Responsibility
isaverbalcounterfeitforasubstantial
quidproquo. Itisan attempt toget
somethingfornothing.
13 DECEMBER 1968
If the word responsibility is to be
usedatall,Isuggestthatit beinthe
sense Charles Frankel uses it (20).
"Responsibility," saysthisphilosopher,
"is the product of definite social ar-
rangements."Notice thatFrankelcalls
for social arrangements-not propa-
ganda.
MutualCoercion
MutuallyAgreedupon
Thesocialarrangementsthatproduce
responsibility are arrangements that
createcoercion, of somesort. Consid-
er bank-robbing. The man whotakes
moneyfromabankactsasifthebank
wereacommons.How doweprevent
suchaction?Certainlynotbytryingto
controlhisbehaviorsolelybyaverbal
appeal to his sense of responsibility.
Rather than rely on propaganda we
followFrankel'sleadandinsistthata
bank isnot a commons; we seek the
definite social arrangements that will
keep it from becoming a commons.
Thatwetherebyinfringeon thefree-
dom of would-be robbers we neither
denynorregret.
The morality of bank-robbing is
particularlyeasytounderstandbecause
weacceptcompleteprohibitionofthis
activity. We arewillingto say"Thou
shaltnotrobbanks,"withoutproviding
forexceptions.Buttemperancealsocan
becreatedbycoercion.Taxingisagood
coercive device. To keep downtown
shoppers temperate in their use of
parking space we introduce parking
meters for short periods, and traffic
fines for longer ones. We need not
actuallyforbidacitizentoparkaslong
ashewantsto;weneedmerelymakeit
increasinglyexpensiveforhimtodoso.
Not prohibition, but carefully biased
optionsarewhatweofferhim.AMadi-
son Avenue man might callthisper-
suasion;Ipreferthegreatercandorof
theword coercion.
Coercion is a dirty word to most
liberalsnow,butitneednotforeverbe
so. As withthe four-letter words, its
dirtiness canbecleansed awayby ex-
posuretothelight,bysayingitoverand
overwithoutapologyorembarrassment.
To many, the word coercion implies
arbitrarydecisionsofdistantandirre-
sponsiblebureaucrats;butthisisnota
necessarypartofitsmeaning.Theonly
kindofcoercionIrecommendismutual
coercion,mutuallyagreeduponbythe
majorityofthepeopleaffected.
Tosay that we mutually agree to
coercionisnottosaythatwearere-
quiredtoenjoyit,oreventopretend
weenjoyit.Whoenjoystaxes?Weall
grumble about them. But we accept
compulsorytaxesbecausewerecognize
that voluntary taxes would favor the
conscienceless.Weinstituteand(grum-
blingly)supporttaxesandothercoercive
devices to escape the horror of the
commons.
Analternativetothecommonsneed
notbeperfectlyjust tobe preferable.
With real estate and other material
goods, thealternative wehavechosen
is the institution of private property
coupled withlegal inheritance. Isthis
systemperfectlyjust?Asa genetically
trained biologist I deny that it is. It
seemstomethat,iftherearetobedif-
ferencesinindividualinheritance,legal
possession should be perfectly cor-
relatedwithbiologicalinheritance-that
thosewhoarebiologicallymorefit to
bethecustodiansofpropertyandpower
shouldlegallyinheritmore.Butgenetic
recombination continually makes a
mockeryofthedoctrineof"likefather,
likeson"implicitinourlawsoflegalin-
heritance.Anidiotcaninheritmillions,
anda trust fund can keephis estate
intact. We mustadmit thatour legal
systemofprivateproperty plusinheri-
tanceisunjust-butweputupwithit
becausewe are notconvinced, atthe
moment, that anyone has invented a
better system. The alternative of the
commonsistoohorrifyingtocontem-
plate. Injustice is preferable to total
ruin.
Itisoneofthe peculiaritiesofthe
warfarebetweenreformandthestatus
quo that it is thoughtlessly governed
byadoublestandard.Wheneverare-
formmeasure is proposedit is often
defeated when its opponents trium-
phantlydiscoveraflawinit.AsKings-
leyDavishaspointedout(21),worship-
persofthestatusquosometimesimply
thatnoreformispossiblewithoutunan-
imous agreement, animplication con-
trarytohistoricalfact.AsnearlyasI
canmake out, automaticrejection of
proposedreformsis based on oneof
twounconscious assumptions: (i) that
thestatusquoisperfect;or(ii)thatthe
choicewefaceisbetweenreformand
no action; if theproposed reform is
imperfect,we presumablyshould take
noaction atall, while wewait fora
perfectproposal.
Butwecanneverdonothing.That
whichwehavedonefor thousandsof
years is also action. Italso produces
evils. Once we are aware that the
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statusquoisaction,wecanthencom-
pare its discoverable advantages and
disadvantages with the predicted ad-
vantagesanddisadvantagesofthepro-
posed reform, discounting as bestwe
canforourlackofexperience.Onthe
basis of such a comparison, we can
makearationaldecisionwhichwillnot
involvetheunworkableassumptionthat
onlyperfectsystemsaretolerable.
RecognitionofNecessity
Perhapsthesimplestsummaryofthis
analysis ofman'spopulation problems
isthis: the commons, if justifiable at
all,isjustifiable onlyunderconditions
oflow-population density. As thehu-
man population has increased, the
commonshashadtobeabandonedin
oneaspectafteranother.
Firstweabandonedthecommonsin
food gathering, enclosing farm land
and restricting pastures and hunting
and fishing areas. These restrictions
are still not complete throughout the
world.
Somewhatlaterwesawthatthecom-
mons as a place for waste disposal
wouldalsohavetobeabandoned. Re-
strictions onthe disposalof domestic
sewage are widely accepted in the
Westernworld;weare stillstruggling
toclosethecommons topollutionby
automobiles, factories, insecticide
sprayers, fertilizing operations, and
atomicenergyinstallations.
Inastillmoreembryonicstateisour
recognitionoftheevilsofthecommons
inmattersofpleasure.Thereisalmost
no restriction on the propagation of
soundwavesinthepublicmedium.The
shoppingpublicisassaultedwithmind-
less music, without its consent. Our
government is paying out billions of
dollars to create supersonic transport
which will disturb 50,000 people for
everyonepersonwhoiswhiskedfrom
coast to coast 3 hours faster. Adver-
tisersmuddytheairwavesofradioand
television and pollute the view of
travelers.Wearealongwayfromout-
lawing the commons in matters of
pleasure. Is this because our Puritan
inheritance makesusview pleasureas
somethingofa sin,andpain (thatis,
thepollutionofadvertising)asthesign
ofvirtue?
Every new enclosure of the com-
mons involves the infringement of
somebody's personal liberty. Infringe-
mentsmadeinthedistantpastareac-
cepted becausenocontemporary com-
plainsof a loss. It isthe newlypro-
posedinfringementsthatwevigorously
oppose;criesof"rights"and"freedom"
fillthe air.But whatdoes "freedom"
mean?Whenmen mutually agreedto
passlawsagainstrobbing,mankindbe-
camemorefree,notlessso.Individuals
lockedinto thelogicofthe commons
arefreeonlytobringonuniversalruin;
once theyseethe necessityofmutual
coercion, they become free to pursue
othergoals.IbelieveitwasHegelwho
said, "Freedom is the recognition of
necessity."
Themostimportantaspectofneces-
sitythatwemustnowrecognize,isthe
necessityof abandoning the commons
inbreeding. Notechnicalsolutioncan
rescueusfromthemiseryofoverpopu-
lation. Freedom to breed will bring
ruin to all.At the moment,to avoid
harddecisionsmanyofusaretempted
to propagandize for conscience and
responsible parenthood. The tempta-
tion mustbe resisted,because an ap-
peal to independently acting con-
sciences selects for the disappearance
ofallconscienceinthelongrun,and
anin,creaseinanxietyintheshort.
Theonlywaywe canpreserveand
nurtureotherandmore preciousfree-
doms is byrelinquishingthe freedom
tobreed,andthatverysoon."Freedom
istherecognitionofnecessity"-andit
istheroleofeducationtorevealtoall
the necessity of abandoning the free-
domtobreed.Onlyso,canweputan
endtothisaspectofthetragedyofthe
commons.
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The Tragedy of the Commons
Garrett Hardin
DOI: 10.1126/science.162.3859.
Science 162 (3859), 1243-1248.
ARTICLE TOOLS http://science.sciencemag.org/content/162/3859/
REFERENCES
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/162/3859/1243#BIBL
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